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Danielle Fong's Predictions

keeping prediction honest

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  • 1.
    The Strong Form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis Will Be Among Economists More Disreputable Than Freud Among Psychologists by 2050
    1 point by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • comment
  • 2.
    At Least 50% of Web Users will Regularly Backup Their Data to the Cloud By 2030
    3 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • comment
  • 3.
    Solid-state data storage will account for more than 50% of capacity within new consumer devices by 2020
    4 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 4.
    A Religion Will Be Founded Upon the Idea of a Technological Singularity by 2025

    At least one associated Hoax will con more than 10 million US Dollars (current, and adjusted for inflation) from people.

    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • 4 comments
  • 5.
    20% of the US Population Will Run An Active Photosharing/Videosharing Account or Blog By 2025
    3 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 6.
    P Will Never Be Shown to = NP
    3 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 7.
    Some Form of Electronic Mail will Replace the Traditional US Post for Official Correspondence by 2050
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 8.
    Hours watched of Amateur Created Videos (eg. on YouTube) will Exceed Hours Watched of Studio Productions during 2020
    1 point by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 9.
    Solar Power Will Become Cheaper than Coal for Household, Industrial, and Automotive Applications by 2050
    5 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • 1 comment
  • 10.
    By 2075, the PhD will no longer be the Union Card of Academia
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • 2 comments
  • 11.
    By 2025, the Paid Academic Journal System will be Largely Relegated to an Archival Role
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • comment
  • 12.
    Gasoline or Diesel or Biodiesel Fueled Vehicles Will Account for Less than 40% of All Vehicles Sold between 2008 and 2050
    3 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 13.
    Nothing Resembling the Strong Form of a Technological or Intelligence Singularity Will Ever Appear
    1 point by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 14.
    The Global Average Temperature Will Increase by at Least 1 Degree C between 2008 and 2108 (en.wikipedia.org)
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • 2 comments
  • 15.
    99.9% of All Cars in 2100 Will Not Fly
    5 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • comment
  • 16.
    No Human Will Set Foot on Mars By 2100
    1 point by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • 2 comments
  • 17.
    Tokamaks, in the form of ITER, will not be a politically or economically viable source of power by 2050
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • comment
  • 18.
    Quantum computing will not be possible, due to currently undiscovered physics regarding many body states
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • comment
  • 19.
    The Higgs Boson will not be convincingly found by the LHC.
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 20.
    The United States will Reduce its Miltary Deployment Abroad by at least 50% by 2010
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 21.
    Kindle/ebook purchases will surpass 50% of Amazon's sales by unit by 2015
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
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  • 22.
    Craigslist will remain the most popular online classifieds site through 2015
    1 point by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • 1 comment
  • 23.
    Web applications to assist self diagnosis/alerts will be regulated as 'medical devices' by the FDA until 2015
    1 point by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • comment
  • 24.
    Lithium-ion batteries will never replace Gasoline in more than 20% of sold cars in a given year
    1 point by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • comment
  • 25.
    The Next Generation Macbook Air will contain a built-in 3g Modem [false]
    2 points by daniellefong 1 year ago
    • 1 comment
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